Millions of Canadians are expected to vote in a critical election that will determine who will lead the country in a trade battle with the United States.
The 36-day campaign is extraordinary for the main competitors: liberal Mark Carney and conservative leader Pierre Poilievre.
Just a few months ago, opinion polls showed that after Canadians were sore about former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Poilievre could almost guarantee a snap-up of most governments he had already waited for.
Trudeau’s resignation in early January, a trade war between U.S. President Donald Trump and the persevering barb that made Canada the 51st state – flipped the political script.
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With Trump’s announcement of a moratorium and then re-announced devastating tariffs on Canadian goods, the campaign has become a big part of a race about who is best to guide Canada through global uncertainty.
While overall profits between the two leading parties narrowed in the final segment, the polls showed that the game was the Liberals’ loss.
According to the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation (CBC) poll tracker, liberals maintain their advantage in Ontario’s wealthy Ontario and Quebec, as well as the British Columbia and the Atlantic region of Canada, and are favored to win the most seats.
But it’s far from a deal, as leaders and their teams repeat throughout the campaign: the only important poll is on Election Day.
Carney focuses on Trump
Carney tries to define himself as a stable, mature leader who is better off dealing with an unpredictable president and crafting new economic and security relationships.
At the crisscrossing, the freshly cast leader pointed to his role as governor of Bank of Canada and head of the British Bank during the Brexit period during the 2008 global financial crisis, which is evidence that Canadians should trust him to guide the country’s economy during turbulent times.
Carney argued in one of his most repetitive campaign lines: “Trump is trying to break us so that America can have us.”
“Well, this will never happen.” He often tells the crowd to gather and listen to political beginners.
Carney has the 2025 whirlwind so far. He conveniently won the liberal leadership on March 9 and was sworn in as prime minister nine days before the election was triggered.
Carney’s biggest weakness in entering the campaign is expected to be his shaky Frenchman, who splits into six out of 10 points, but he emerges from the debate in France and misconductive interviews with popular shows tout le monde en parle Relatively unscathed.
His campaign did hit some obstacles. He was accused of not telling the full truth of his conversation with Trump last week after the president raised Canada to become the 51st state on the phone. Carney immediately said after the call that Trump respects Canada’s sovereignty.
It is unclear whether voters will see it this way or whether it will affect their choices.
The last day of the event is often filled with excitement when both parties try to build the final momentum and convey the message. However, Sunday was twisted by a tragedy, killing 11 people and injuring more than 20 people after crashing at the Philippine Street Music Festival in Vancouver.
The dark end of the campaign has caused most leaders to cancel the incident or send sympathy to families around their schedules.
When Carney’s final push fell, he did score into controversial areas including Saskatoon and Edmonton, and his campaign was confident that he would enter Monday’s vote.
Poilievre drives change
Poilievre believes that election boils down to one word: change.
Over the past five weeks, the Conservatives have considered Carney an extension of the last decade of liberal rule, often pointing to Carney as a proven status as a financial adviser to Trudeau.
“In a decade of rising crime, chaos, drugs and chaos, we can’t risk the fourth liberal. We must turn around the policies that have left us in trouble,” he said Sunday in Oakville, Ontario.
Poilievre spent part of last week, docking bases in relatively safe areas of Alberta and Saskatchewan.
He then turned to the Greater Toronto area, and winning a seat was key to a conservative victory. His last stop on Sunday was a ride on Carleton in Ottawa, where liberals have been aiming.
Poilievre has represented cycling since 2004 and recaptured the Conservative Party’s in-rope in 2022. Throughout the campaign, he turned to his own story, which was born by a teenage mother and adopted by a teacher, using this as an example of how the country has broken Canada’s “promise” while arguing about Canada’s “promise”.
Poilievre is known for its fighting style and has recently tried to provide a calmer image with a smiley face. Since Stephen Harper’s 2011 majority, he has managed to attract support levels that he’s never seen before, but seeing his party’s 20-point lead in the polls is NDP, BLOC and green voters turning to Carney’s liberals.
Poilievre faces criticism that he is too slow to turn with the ballot box issues he wants to run for (carbon tax, affordability and Trudeau’s unpopularity) to Trump’s trade war and revival of Canadian patriotism.
He defended his approach, arguing Canadians’ concerns about housing crisis and illegal drugs.
lead debate.
Singh says he is fighting for Canadians
With the campaign so closely around Trump, the other two major political parties sometimes find themselves squeezed out of the conversation.
According to poll stalkers, New Democrats and Quebec’s Brocks could suffer major seat losses Monday night as voters kick out liberal tires.
Singh was plagued by the votes and future issues of the New Democratic Party (NDP) since the start of the campaign.
He took a step back, believing that sending NDP MPs to the lower house of minority governments would keep the next government’s inspection and “improve people’s lives.”
On Friday, he decided not to trigger the federal election decision sooner, even after the tear Protocols for increasing supply and confidence He signed with Trudeau liberals.
“I can’t stand the idea of Pierre Poilievre and the conservatives forming a majority government,” Singh said.
“I know that because of what they want, because of their cuts, because of their cuts, it would be bad.”
Singer was quick to point out that his deal with Trudeau prompted the Liberals to bring drug health and dental care programs, policies the New Democrats have sought for years.
Singh spent the orange support in the Ontario border city of Windsor and then in the British Columbia border city.
Bloc leader makes his party the best in Quebec
Bloch Québécois leader Yves-François Blanchet has also been working to keep the house balanced, and his hometown has once again proved to be an important battlefield to determine the final outcome. The Separatist Party held only candidates in Quebec, and its mission has long been the voice of Ottawa Quebecs.
In the final days of the campaign, Blanchet raised controversy when he described his role as serving in a “foreign parliament” and called Canada “an artificial world that doesn’t make sense very little.”
“This country is not mine,” he said.
Polls show that the Greens are at risk of being erased from Canada’s election map, but co-leader Elizabeth May said she hopes the Greens can not only hold two seats in the House of Commons, but can grow.
The first result is expected to drop from Atlantic Province after 7:30 pm ET. Most votes will be counted after 9:30 pm ET, including from Ontario and Quebec. The last vote will come from British Columbia and Yukon around 10 p.m. ET.
Here you can check when polling stations in your area are closed.
According to the Canadian election, about 7.3 million Canadians have voted in advance.
You can watch CBC’s special election reports starting at 6:30 pm ET.
