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The outbreak of hostilities between Israel and Iran is not only a regional crisis, but also a global turning point. From strengthening missile exchanges to growing nuclear fears, the escalating ghosts threaten the crack alliance, undermining the oil market and empowering competitors. Originally an Israeli surgical strike on suspicious nuclear sites, it now has the potential to fall into the risk of multiple plot conflicts – everything from the Hormuz Strait to Taiwan.
The situation escalated sharply. Israel launched ongoing air strikes on Iranian territory for three consecutive days, targeting more than 250 locations, including Natanz, Isfahan and major defense ministry facilities. Iran has reported at least 78 deaths and more than 320 injured. In return, Israel’s missile Salworth killed at least 10 civilians and injured more than 360 people. Damages include oil infrastructure in residential areas of Iran and Tel Aviv. These developments emphasize the vulnerability of regional stability and the rising potential of global spillovers.
This is not a theoretical crisis. Global trade routes, energy corridors and financial markets are already responding. While Western diplomats scramble to contain Iran, Russia is strengthening its alliance with Tehran, while China is trying to reshape the energy flow and erode the U.S. diplomatic influence. Global balances are being re-drawn in real time.
Israel says it has air superiority over Tehran, where Iranian intelligence leader was killed
At present, the United States faces a decisive question: will it lead the post-strike order, or will it allow Beijing and Moscow to shape the future?
The United States Reaction and China – Russia Axis
Washington’s posture has always been cautious but firm. While confirming Israel’s right to self-defense, the United States urges all parties to avoid uncontrolled escalations. It strengthened Gulf missile defense, evacuated U.S. personnel from Iraq and Bahrain, and expanded intelligence support while avoiding direct military involvement, in addition to using our air defense systems. President Donald Trump reiterated a transparent red line: Iran must not obtain nuclear weapons. Behind the scenes, American envoys are opening up diplomatic channels through Oman and Europe.
This conflict is a wake-up call. Now, a regional war can ripple around the world – eliminating economies, shifting alliances and testing the credibility of the United States. If the United States retreats, powers such as China and Russia will be full of influential influence.
Russia and China, by contrast, are taking advantage of chaos. Moscow condemned Israel’s strike and provided Iran with aid to deal with abundant uranium, which intensified its mediation certificate and Iran’s nuclear ambitions. China expressed “serious concern”, but reportedly deepened oil and infrastructure ties with Iran and provided an economic lifeline for Western sanctions. These actions do not merely represent opportunism. Their goal is to undermine the U.S. leadership in the Middle East.
Upgrade risks and global consequences
The chain reaction of conflict is expanding. Hezbollah may strike from Lebanon. Iraqi Shiite militia can attack the U.S. forces. In Yemen, Houthi rebels threaten the Gulf infrastructure. Each front has the potential to expand conflict and drag down regional and global actors.
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The same concern is sea destruction. Iran can block the straits of Hormuz, one in five of the world’s oil flow. The market has responded – oil prices surged more than 10%, Dow Jones fell nearly 2%, and gold soared. Meanwhile, China may inspire our attention by asserting more control in the South China Sea or Taiwan.
Iran is also escalating in the military. The use of its new “Haj Qassem” to guide the use of ballistic missiles marks a new stage in strategic confrontation. This technological advancement represents a deepening threat to Israeli cities and a symbolic escalation of conflict.
The way forward: American leadership is essential
To prevent further deterioration, the United States must implement a three-pronged strategy:
1. Retraction of diplomatic initiatives Through a new regional national alliance, leadership is led by senior, multilateral promotion to negotiate a ceasefire. Restore IAEA’s access to Iran sites and use clear law enforcement mechanisms to establish a phased downgrade framework.
2. Block wider escalation without overcommitment Any attack on the interests of the United States or allies will trigger proportional revenge. Strengthen missile defense coordination with Israel, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. CENTCOM should publicly reiterate the red line to signal.
3. Stabilize the global market Coordinate with G7 partners and major producers to maintain oil supply resilience. To avoid direct U.S.-Iran conflict, perhaps British or French naval assets could ensure freedom of navigation in the Hormuz Strait. Strategic advocacy for India and Japan can reduce global dependence on Iranian energy.
Responsibility of a multipolar world
This conflict is a wake-up call. Now, a regional war can ripple around the world – eliminating economies, shifting alliances and testing the credibility of the United States. If the United States retreats, powers such as China and Russia will be full of influential influence.
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At such a strategic crossroads, the United States must prove that power and constraints can coexist – diplomacy is not a weakness, deterrence is not a provocation. The United States has the tools, alliances and principles to guide the world crisis. Still the will of the leader is still essential.
The world is watching. The leader can’t wait.
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